Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.076508 0.085847 0.095537 0.106316 0.117945 0.130084 0.143688
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.060080 0.073631 0.088554 0.106083 0.125980 0.147740 0.173210
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.047940 0.063879 0.082425 0.105286 0.132391 0.163191 0.200518
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.042158 0.060365 0.082554 0.111000 0.145897 0.186731 0.237517
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.037865 0.057874 0.083285 0.116980 0.159521 0.210512 0.275268
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.032322 0.052881 0.080113 0.117454 0.165933 0.225383 0.302371
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.026723 0.046983 0.075019 0.114786 0.167848 0.234370 0.322128
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.024392 0.045405 0.075488 0.119267 0.178883 0.254837 0.356384
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.021981 0.043356 0.075014 0.122254 0.187851 0.272707 0.387583
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.019595 0.041013 0.073837 0.124039 0.195079 0.288326 0.416063
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.017235 0.038383 0.071951 0.124578 0.200452 0.301469 0.441438
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.016937 0.039222 0.075377 0.132922 0.216824 0.329477 0.486629
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.014602 0.036284 0.072846 0.132589 0.221393 0.342354 0.513024
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012927 0.034341 0.071773 0.134415 0.229145 0.359826 0.546053
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011137 0.031891 0.069628 0.134422 0.234204 0.373689 0.574517
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010692 0.032113 0.072037 0.141672 0.250097 0.402870 0.624182
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.010289 0.032358 0.074467 0.149001 0.266245 0.432657 0.675083
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009028 0.030482 0.072905 0.149661 0.272232 0.448074 0.706336
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007468 0.027600 0.069209 0.146525 0.272229 0.454860 0.725668
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007041 0.027403 0.070541 0.151881 0.285423 0.480760 0.771892
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006462 0.026711 0.070844 0.155443 0.295856 0.502794 0.812958
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.005802 0.025670 0.070356 0.157568 0.304024 0.521614 0.849704
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.005085 0.024308 0.069085 0.158209 0.309788 0.536943 0.881655